Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.031602 1.245377 1.515861 1.892996 2.422324 3.168126e+00 4.359420
2025-04-20 0.785503 1.042112 1.419230 2.054326 3.198989 5.456330e+00 11.412621
2025-04-27 0.643416 0.905566 1.330509 2.150220 3.961774 8.927054e+00 34.844833
2025-05-04 0.540667 0.790677 1.223395 2.143122 4.530700 1.344719e+01 142.113304
2025-05-11 0.461385 0.692172 1.109832 2.061099 4.856623 1.866805e+01 1457.436863
2025-05-18 0.415599 0.639947 1.065218 2.109097 5.653460 3.153878e+01 NaN
2025-05-25 0.384472 0.606982 1.048276 2.217190 6.872969 6.625753e+01 NaN
2025-06-01 0.351531 0.564562 1.000574 2.220818 7.726190 1.347179e+02 NaN
2025-06-08 0.318841 0.517629 0.932752 2.137144 8.061562 2.463601e+02 NaN
2025-06-15 0.301848 0.498787 0.923946 2.235290 9.781378 1.778394e+03 NaN
2025-06-22 0.282503 0.472510 0.892258 2.244667 11.025389 8.035653e+09 NaN
2025-06-29 0.262305 0.442071 0.845016 2.180324 11.592968 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.244923 0.416098 0.805761 2.136865 12.435226 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.238847 0.413223 0.824489 2.333719 17.180954 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.230003 0.403277 0.822867 2.450104 22.184811 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.218082 0.385256 0.796171 2.441706 25.243268 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.204756 0.362885 0.754092 2.342871 25.755216 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.197066 0.352475 0.744110 2.400694 31.936885 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.191765 0.346937 0.747152 2.531312 44.551320 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.183889 0.334716 0.728586 2.535706 53.070527 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.174377 0.317944 0.694170 2.434532 53.692349 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.170206 0.313372 0.696150 2.553239 78.858110 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.164193 0.303924 0.681698 2.564606 98.700223 NaN NaN